Scouting Report
Marc Savard holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Savard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Savard 50.7% vs Connolly 47.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Savard leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Savard 65.1%
Defensive zone
Savard 64.8%
Neutral zone
Savard 67.3%
Result
Marc Savard favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Savard
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Savard
Connolly
Last 10: Savard 7-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Savard
Connolly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Savard
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Savard
3
0
Savard
Connolly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Savard
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (253)
47.4% (1,307)
+2.4%
Power Play
54.4% (68)
50.2% (251)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
41.9% (186)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Savard is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Savard shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Savard
Connolly
Home
54.1% (172)
48.5% (870)
Away
47.4% (156)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Savard
Connolly
P1
57.7%
47.4%
P2
48.8%
47.7%
P3
46.2%
47.0%
OT
40.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Savard
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.9%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Marc Savard |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Marc Savard |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Marc Savard |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Marc Savard |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Marc Savard |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Marc Savard |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Marc Savard |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |