Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Goc 53.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 78.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 60.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 69.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Lowry
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lowry
Goc
Last 6: Lowry 1-5 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
3
Lowry
Goc
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
2
Lowry
Goc
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
54.5% (512)
-7.5%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
65.0% (20)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
52.3% (153)
-7.3%
On power play, Goc has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Goc is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Lowry
Goc
Home
49.2% (425)
57.2% (383)
Away
45.3% (426)
50.7% (302)
By Period
Lowry
Goc
P1
53.6%
53.9%
P2
39.8%
51.2%
P3
48.5%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 01:48 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |