Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Goc 51.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 65.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 77.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 63.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Kelly
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kelly
Goc
Last 5: Kelly 4-1 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Goc
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Goc
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Goc
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
51.3% (591)
+7.4%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
62.8% (78)
+37.2%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
49.6% (117)
-0.3%
On power play, Kelly has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Kelly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Kelly shoots left. Goc is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Kelly
Goc
Home
60.0% (200)
51.1% (393)
Away
55.5% (173)
53.2% (393)
By Period
Kelly
Goc
P1
55.9%
51.0%
P2
58.4%
57.8%
P3
60.9%
48.7%
OT
37.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 07:57 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |