Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Goc 53.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Goc leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 50.5%
Defensive zone
Goc 51.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 52.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
MacKenzie
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
MacKenzie
Goc
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
2
MacKenzie
Goc
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
5
MacKenzie
Goc
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
MacKenzie
Goc
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
54.5% (512)
+0.6%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
65.0% (20)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
52.3% (153)
-3.4%
On power play, Goc has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Goc is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Goc
Home
54.9% (506)
57.2% (383)
Away
51.4% (516)
50.7% (302)
By Period
MacKenzie
Goc
P1
54.5%
53.9%
P2
55.6%
51.2%
P3
48.2%
58.5%
OT
70.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |