Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goc wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 53.1% vs Foligno 48.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 50.5%
Defensive zone
Goc 78.9%
Neutral zone
Goc 61.5%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Goc
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Goc
Foligno
Last 5: Goc 3-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
1
Goc
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goc
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (881)
46.9% (258)
+8.6%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
59.4% (32)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (260)
54.5% (11)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (801).
Goc shoots left. Foligno is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Goc
Foligno
Home
53.6% (552)
43.4% (143)
Away
53.2% (681)
53.2% (158)
By Period
Goc
Foligno
P1
54.6%
46.7%
P2
52.7%
53.1%
P3
52.9%
45.2%
OT
52.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |