Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 52.3% vs Foligno 47.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 54.3%
Defensive zone
Goc 80.8%
Neutral zone
Goc 63.1%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Goc
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Goc
Foligno
Last 5: Goc 3-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
1
Goc
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goc
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (3,301)
47.6% (553)
+5.4%
Power Play
58.0% (314)
56.3% (64)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (728)
34.2% (76)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Goc shoots left. Foligno is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Goc
Foligno
Home
53.9% (2,079)
46.0% (365)
Away
51.0% (2,296)
47.9% (328)
By Period
Goc
Foligno
P1
51.9%
48.7%
P2
53.1%
49.8%
P3
52.4%
42.7%
OT
44.9%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |