Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 52.3% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Goc 72.7%
Defensive zone
Goc 58.1%
Neutral zone
Goc 59.4%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Goc
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Goc
Gaustad
Last 10: Goc 7-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Goc
Gaustad
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
8
Goc
Gaustad
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
6
1
Goc
Gaustad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (3,301)
58.2% (4,334)
-5.2%
Power Play
58.0% (314)
65.4% (188)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (728)
54.8% (1,290)
-7.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Goc shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Goc
Gaustad
Home
53.9% (2,079)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
51.0% (2,296)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Goc
Gaustad
P1
51.9%
58.2%
P2
53.1%
56.4%
P3
52.4%
58.3%
OT
44.9%
66.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 4, 2014 | OT | 04:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |