Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Goc wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 51.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Goc 52.3%
Defensive zone
Goc 82.8%
Neutral zone
Goc 65.6%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Goc
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Goc
Stastny
Last 10: Goc 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Goc
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goc
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Goc
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (727)
55.0% (1,136)
-2.7%
Power Play
63.8% (69)
57.5% (200)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (159)
53.1% (64)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Goc shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Goc
Stastny
Home
54.7% (468)
58.5% (744)
Away
48.8% (510)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Goc
Stastny
P1
48.9%
57.9%
P2
53.0%
54.9%
P3
52.4%
53.0%
OT
60.9%
72.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2012 | OT | 03:20 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 18, 2012 | OT | 00:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |