Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 52.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Goc 63.0%
Defensive zone
Goc 83.9%
Neutral zone
Goc 69.9%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Goc
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Goc
Stastny
Last 10: Goc 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
7
Goc
Stastny
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Goc
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
7
Goc
Stastny
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (3,301)
54.6% (10,616)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.0% (314)
59.1% (1,994)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (728)
52.9% (1,119)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Goc shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Goc
Stastny
Home
53.9% (2,079)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
51.0% (2,296)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Goc
Stastny
P1
51.9%
56.3%
P2
53.1%
55.4%
P3
52.4%
53.5%
OT
44.9%
62.9%
Final 5 min
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | OT | 03:20 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 18, 2012 | OT | 00:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |