Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 51.8%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 52.3% vs Koivu 51.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Goc leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Goc 59.3%
Defensive zone
Goc 53.2%
Neutral zone
Goc 54.0%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Goc
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Goc
Koivu
Last 10: Goc 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Goc
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
3
0
Goc
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
7
3
Goc
Koivu
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (3,301)
51.9% (3,221)
+1.1%
Power Play
58.0% (314)
59.3% (437)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (728)
48.0% (764)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Goc shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Goc
Koivu
Home
53.9% (2,079)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
51.0% (2,296)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Goc
Koivu
P1
51.9%
51.1%
P2
53.1%
52.6%
P3
52.4%
51.8%
OT
44.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2014 | OT | 04:10 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |