Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kasper wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Coronato shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Coronato 42.3% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 64.0%
Defensive zone
Kasper 93.0%
Neutral zone
Kasper 82.0%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Kasper
Coronato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Kasper
Coronato
Last 5: Kasper 5-0 Coronato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Coronato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
0
Kasper
Coronato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
37.8% (259)
+9.2%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
48.5% (68)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
0.0% (1)
+30.6%
On penalty kill, Kasper has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Kasper is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kasper shoots left. Coronato is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Kasper
Coronato
Home
49.1% (464)
39.8% (171)
Away
44.2% (548)
40.1% (157)
By Period
Kasper
Coronato
P1
47.8%
42.2%
P2
51.0%
38.0%
P3
39.9%
38.1%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |