Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Domi 50.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 54.3%
Defensive zone
Kasper 57.7%
Neutral zone
Kasper 52.2%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Kasper
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kasper
Domi
Last 7: Kasper 3-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Kasper
Domi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
1
Kasper
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Kasper
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
50.4% (254)
+0.7%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
59.3% (27)
-26.0%
On power play, Domi has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Kasper
Domi
Home
51.1% (184)
50.0% (174)
Away
48.5% (194)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Kasper
Domi
P1
53.8%
45.7%
P2
52.2%
51.5%
P3
42.6%
57.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Max Domi |