Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kasper wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Domi 48.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 52.4%
Defensive zone
Kasper 63.0%
Neutral zone
Kasper 59.3%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Kasper
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kasper
Domi
Last 8: Kasper 3-5 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Kasper
Domi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kasper
Domi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Kasper
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
48.1% (4,296)
-1.1%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
53.4% (633)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
48.8% (41)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Kasper shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Kasper
Domi
Home
49.1% (464)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
44.2% (548)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Kasper
Domi
P1
47.8%
48.7%
P2
51.0%
48.3%
P3
39.9%
49.8%
OT
66.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
41.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Max Domi |