Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Geekie 47.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Kasper leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 65.3%
Defensive zone
Kasper 55.7%
Neutral zone
Kasper 51.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Kasper
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Kasper
Geekie
Last 10: Kasper 6-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
2
Kasper
Geekie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kasper
Geekie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
45.7% (352)
-0.6%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
63.2% (19)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
33.3% (3)
-3.9%
On power play, Geekie has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Kasper is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Kasper shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Kasper
Geekie
Home
47.9% (280)
48.5% (165)
Away
42.5% (346)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Kasper
Geekie
P1
45.8%
48.5%
P2
50.0%
45.1%
P3
38.4%
45.8%
Final 5 min
40.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |