Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kasper wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Suzuki 49.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 69.1%
Defensive zone
Kasper 79.9%
Neutral zone
Kasper 73.4%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Kasper
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kasper
Suzuki
Last 9: Kasper 2-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
6
Kasper
Suzuki
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Kasper
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
49.4% (6,327)
-2.4%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
50.7% (1,338)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
43.6% (456)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Kasper is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kasper shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Kasper
Suzuki
Home
49.1% (464)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
44.2% (548)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Kasper
Suzuki
P1
47.8%
48.8%
P2
51.0%
49.1%
P3
39.9%
50.2%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:18 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |