Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Acciari 51.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 51.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 90.0%
Neutral zone
Acciari 65.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Kasper
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kasper
Acciari
Last 6: Kasper 5-1 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
52.8% (3,276)
-5.8%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
48.2% (85)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
47.1% (1,061)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Kasper is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kasper shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Kasper
Acciari
Home
49.1% (464)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
44.2% (548)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Kasper
Acciari
P1
47.8%
52.2%
P2
51.0%
51.5%
P3
39.9%
50.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |