Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Zacha 49.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 66.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 62.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 62.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Kasper
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kasper
Zacha
Last 8: Kasper 6-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Kasper
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
4
0
Kasper
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
1
Kasper
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
48.9% (5,102)
-1.9%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
55.6% (804)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
42.2% (555)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Kasper shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Kasper
Zacha
Home
49.1% (464)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
44.2% (548)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Kasper
Zacha
P1
47.8%
49.9%
P2
51.0%
49.2%
P3
39.9%
48.1%
OT
66.7%
53.1%
Final 5 min
41.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |