Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 45.7%). Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kasper wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Krebs 45.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kasper 55.4%
Defensive zone
Krebs 61.3%
Neutral zone
Krebs 58.3%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Kasper
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Kasper
Krebs
Last 10: Kasper 4-6 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Kasper
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
3
Kasper
Krebs
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
1
Kasper
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
46.0% (2,159)
+1.0%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
52.5% (99)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
38.6% (171)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Krebs has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Kasper shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Home / Away
Kasper
Krebs
Home
49.1% (464)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
44.2% (548)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Kasper
Krebs
P1
47.8%
45.9%
P2
51.0%
46.4%
P3
39.9%
44.8%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |