Scouting Report
Peyton Krebs holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kasper wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Krebs 49.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kasper 64.4%
Defensive zone
Krebs 55.2%
Neutral zone
Kasper 56.8%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Kasper
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Kasper
Krebs
Last 10: Kasper 4-6 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Kasper
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
3
Kasper
Krebs
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
1
Kasper
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
49.5% (560)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
52.6% (38)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
43.3% (67)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Krebs has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Kasper shoots left. Krebs is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Kasper
Krebs
Home
47.9% (280)
49.4% (314)
Away
42.5% (346)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Kasper
Krebs
P1
45.8%
47.0%
P2
50.0%
50.5%
P3
38.4%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.3%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |