Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Bennett 48.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 60.0%
Defensive zone
Kasper 51.9%
Neutral zone
Bennett 55.3%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Kasper
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kasper
Bennett
Last 7: Kasper 2-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Kasper
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Kasper
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
46.4% (780)
+4.7%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
57.3% (150)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
47.8% (46)
-16.2%
On power play, Bennett has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Kasper
Bennett
Home
51.1% (184)
50.3% (519)
Away
48.5% (194)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Kasper
Bennett
P1
53.8%
47.5%
P2
52.2%
46.6%
P3
42.6%
49.8%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |