Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 47.2%). Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Bennett 47.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 51.0%
Defensive zone
Kasper 68.3%
Neutral zone
Kasper 58.9%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Kasper
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kasper
Bennett
Last 7: Kasper 2-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Kasper
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Kasper
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
46.8% (5,683)
+0.2%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
53.7% (555)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
41.8% (256)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Kasper shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Kasper
Bennett
Home
49.1% (464)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
44.2% (548)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Kasper
Bennett
P1
47.8%
48.0%
P2
51.0%
46.5%
P3
39.9%
46.9%
OT
66.7%
52.5%
Final 5 min
41.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |