Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kasper wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Couturier 52.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 74.7%
Defensive zone
Kasper 72.8%
Neutral zone
Kasper 72.6%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Kasper
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kasper
Couturier
Last 5: Kasper 1-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Kasper
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Kasper
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
52.5% (11,063)
-5.5%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
59.7% (1,280)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
48.5% (1,816)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Kasper shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Kasper
Couturier
Home
49.1% (464)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
44.2% (548)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Kasper
Couturier
P1
47.8%
52.5%
P2
51.0%
52.6%
P3
39.9%
52.9%
OT
66.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
41.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |