Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kasper wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Couturier 55.6% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 76.3%
Defensive zone
Kasper 73.4%
Neutral zone
Kasper 72.1%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Kasper
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kasper
Couturier
Last 5: Kasper 1-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Kasper
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Kasper
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
55.1% (1,008)
-10.0%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
64.1% (142)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
53.3% (45)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Kasper shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Kasper
Couturier
Home
47.9% (280)
58.1% (609)
Away
42.5% (346)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Kasper
Couturier
P1
45.8%
55.3%
P2
50.0%
55.8%
P3
38.4%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |