Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Kasper wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Aho 54.9% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Kasper 84.5%
Defensive zone
Kasper 77.8%
Neutral zone
Kasper 73.2%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Kasper
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Kasper
Aho
Last 10: Kasper 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
4
8
Kasper
Aho
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
5
Kasper
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
4
Kasper
Aho
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
54.5% (870)
-9.4%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
62.4% (266)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
37.1% (62)
-7.7%
On power play, Aho has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Kasper shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Kasper
Aho
Home
47.9% (280)
53.9% (603)
Away
42.5% (346)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Kasper
Aho
P1
45.8%
54.1%
P2
50.0%
55.0%
P3
38.4%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.3%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |