Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Pinto 50.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 58.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 73.8%
Neutral zone
Kasper 50.2%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kasper
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kasper
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
50.2% (520)
+0.9%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
68.0% (25)
-34.7%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
49.4% (89)
-17.8%
On power play, Pinto has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Kasper is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Kasper shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Kasper
Pinto
Home
51.1% (184)
48.8% (301)
Away
48.5% (194)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Kasper
Pinto
P1
53.8%
51.2%
P2
52.2%
48.9%
P3
42.6%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |