Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Nosek 46.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 73.9%
Defensive zone
Kasper 70.2%
Neutral zone
Kasper 60.3%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Kasper
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kasper
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
48.5% (66)
+2.6%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
100.0% (1)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
29.6% (27)
+2.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Kasper
Nosek
Home
51.1% (184)
44.0% (25)
Away
48.5% (194)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Kasper
Nosek
P1
53.8%
46.4%
P2
52.2%
34.2%
P3
42.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
44.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |