Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Kasper wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Nosek 53.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 63.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 59.8%
Neutral zone
Kasper 51.7%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Kasper
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kasper
Nosek
Last 5: Kasper 3-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
4
3
Kasper
Nosek
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Kasper
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Kasper
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
54.9% (2,674)
-7.9%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
44.7% (47)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
47.4% (424)
-16.8%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Kasper shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Kasper
Nosek
Home
49.1% (464)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
44.2% (548)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Kasper
Nosek
P1
47.8%
52.3%
P2
51.0%
54.0%
P3
39.9%
54.6%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |