Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Kozak 47.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 61.9%
Defensive zone
Kasper 54.0%
Neutral zone
Kasper 61.4%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Kasper
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kasper
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
2
Kasper
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
46.0% (137)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
66.7% (3)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
40.0% (5)
-10.6%
On power play, Kozak has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Kasper shoots left. Kozak is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Kasper
Kozak
Home
47.9% (280)
51.2% (84)
Away
42.5% (346)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Kasper
Kozak
P1
45.8%
57.1%
P2
50.0%
34.7%
P3
38.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
40.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |