Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kasper wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kasper 72.0%
Defensive zone
Kasper 64.6%
Neutral zone
Kasper 66.1%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Kasper
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Kasper
Gourde
Last 10: Kasper 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Kasper
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
5
Kasper
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
48.4% (4,954)
-1.4%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
57.4% (376)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
39.9% (554)
-9.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Kasper shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Kasper
Gourde
Home
49.1% (464)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
44.2% (548)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Kasper
Gourde
P1
47.8%
49.9%
P2
51.0%
47.4%
P3
39.9%
47.5%
OT
66.7%
37.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |