Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Marco Rossi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.9% vs Rossi 50.4% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 78.0%
Defensive zone
Rossi 55.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 61.2%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Pageau
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Pageau
Rossi
Last 8: Pageau 3-5 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
3
Pageau
Rossi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Rossi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (676)
52.8% (400)
+6.7%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
36.1% (36)
+31.5%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
37.0% (27)
+23.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Pageau shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Pageau
Rossi
Home
58.2% (364)
50.0% (242)
Away
61.0% (559)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Pageau
Rossi
P1
54.4%
54.9%
P2
62.3%
48.7%
P3
62.0%
47.9%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%▼
59.5%
59.9%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |