Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 48.8% vs Rossi 45.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 51.5%
Defensive zone
Danforth 81.2%
Neutral zone
Danforth 61.4%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Danforth
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Danforth
Rossi
Last 6: Danforth 4-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
3
1
Danforth
Rossi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Danforth
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (281)
44.5% (701)
+6.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
56.1% (41)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (67)
0.0% (7)
+35.8%
On penalty kill, Danforth has a +35.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Danforth is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Danforth shoots right. Rossi is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Danforth
Rossi
Home
52.0% (196)
46.8% (385)
Away
44.1% (161)
42.6% (364)
By Period
Danforth
Rossi
P1
48.2%
42.8%
P2
52.8%
43.9%
P3
42.2%
47.4%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |