Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 57.5%
Defensive zone
Rossi 71.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 60.5%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Rossi
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Rossi
Scheifele
Last 10: Rossi 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Rossi
Scheifele
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Rossi
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
46.5% (878)
+6.3%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
48.3% (174)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
50.0% (54)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Rossi shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Rossi
Scheifele
Home
50.0% (242)
46.2% (571)
Away
51.1% (221)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Rossi
Scheifele
P1
54.9%
51.9%
P2
48.7%
45.6%
P3
47.9%
43.9%
OT
40.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |