Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rossi wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Scheifele 48.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 55.5%
Defensive zone
Rossi 55.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 56.2%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Rossi
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Rossi
Scheifele
Last 9: Rossi 3-6 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
3
Rossi
Scheifele
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Rossi
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
48.1% (1,045)
-3.6%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
48.6% (181)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
44.4% (27)
-44.4%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Rossi is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Rossi shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
Rossi
Scheifele
Home
46.8% (385)
52.7% (630)
Away
42.6% (364)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Rossi
Scheifele
P1
42.8%
50.3%
P2
43.9%
46.8%
P3
47.4%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
37.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |