Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs McTavish 48.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 50.9%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.8%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.4%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Rossi
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Rossi
McTavish
Last 7: Rossi 5-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
4
2
Rossi
McTavish
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
0
Rossi
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
48.2% (2,788)
-1.2%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
52.6% (435)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
34.3% (35)
-0.2%
On power play, McTavish has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Rossi shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
Home / Away
Rossi
McTavish
Home
47.8% (1,207)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Rossi
McTavish
P1
47.3%
50.0%
P2
44.8%
47.8%
P3
48.3%
48.4%
OT
45.8%
43.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |