Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Barron 47.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 69.7%
Defensive zone
Barron 87.5%
Neutral zone
Barron 61.7%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Rossi
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Rossi
Barron
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
1
Rossi
Barron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
3
Rossi
Barron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
2
Rossi
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
48.8% (371)
+4.0%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
33.3% (3)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
42.0% (174)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Rossi shoots left. Barron is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Rossi
Barron
Home
50.0% (242)
44.9% (283)
Away
51.1% (221)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Rossi
Barron
P1
54.9%
44.8%
P2
48.7%
50.7%
P3
47.9%
43.6%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |