Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Barron 48.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 74.6%
Defensive zone
Barron 78.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 52.3%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Rossi
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Rossi
Barron
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
1
Rossi
Barron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
4
Rossi
Barron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
2
Rossi
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
49.5% (731)
-2.5%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
50.0% (6)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
42.6% (209)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Rossi shoots left. Barron is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Rossi
Barron
Home
47.8% (1,207)
45.5% (457)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
50.3% (489)
By Period
Rossi
Barron
P1
47.3%
47.6%
P2
44.8%
51.3%
P3
48.3%
45.0%
OT
45.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |