Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Frost 55.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 58.6%
Defensive zone
Rossi 70.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 58.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Rossi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rossi
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Rossi
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
54.9% (701)
-2.1%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
60.8% (166)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
100.0% (5)
-63.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +63.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Rossi shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Rossi
Frost
Home
50.0% (242)
56.0% (443)
Away
51.1% (221)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Rossi
Frost
P1
54.9%
58.9%
P2
48.7%
55.3%
P3
47.9%
54.0%
OT
40.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |