Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Frost 50.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 83.8%
Defensive zone
Frost 58.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 60.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Rossi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Rossi
Frost
Last 7: Rossi 5-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
0
Rossi
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
49.4% (3,598)
-2.4%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
55.5% (625)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
52.8% (36)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Rossi shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Rossi
Frost
Home
47.8% (1,207)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Rossi
Frost
P1
47.3%
50.8%
P2
44.8%
51.1%
P3
48.3%
48.5%
OT
45.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |