Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.5% vs Frost 49.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 86.9%
Defensive zone
Frost 63.9%
Neutral zone
Frost 66.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Rossi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Rossi
Frost
Last 7: Rossi 5-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
0
Rossi
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (2,023)
49.0% (3,418)
-2.4%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
55.0% (600)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
52.8% (36)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rossi is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,454).
Rossi shoots left. Frost is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,654).
Home / Away
Rossi
Frost
Home
47.1% (1,122)
50.9% (1,943)
Away
45.6% (1,129)
49.0% (2,111)
By Period
Rossi
Frost
P1
47.0%
50.3%
P2
44.5%
51.0%
P3
47.6%
48.0%
OT
47.8%
64.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.4%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |