Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.2%). Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rossi wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Kadri 46.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 55.1%
Defensive zone
Rossi 56.2%
Neutral zone
Rossi 51.8%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Rossi
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Rossi
Kadri
Last 9: Rossi 4-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
2
Rossi
Kadri
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
Rossi
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
45.7% (1,295)
+0.8%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
52.7% (146)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
34.8% (23)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Rossi shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
Rossi
Kadri
Home
47.5% (520)
46.5% (725)
Away
46.0% (472)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Rossi
Kadri
P1
47.8%
47.2%
P2
44.2%
44.9%
P3
48.7%
46.3%
OT
45.5%
51.4%
Final 5 min
47.6%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |