Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rossi wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Acciari 53.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 80.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 90.1%
Neutral zone
Acciari 65.6%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Rossi
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Rossi
Acciari
Last 9: Rossi 6-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
4
0
Rossi
Acciari
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Rossi
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
56.7% (393)
-10.2%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
33.3% (3)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
48.0% (202)
+2.0%
On power play, Rossi has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Rossi
Acciari
Home
47.5% (520)
54.5% (279)
Away
46.0% (472)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Rossi
Acciari
P1
47.8%
56.9%
P2
44.2%
51.4%
P3
48.7%
53.2%
OT
45.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |