Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Moore 48.9% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 54.6%
Defensive zone
Rossi 58.9%
Neutral zone
Rossi 52.0%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Rossi
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rossi
Moore
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Moore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
Rossi
Moore
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
50.3% (187)
+2.5%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
33.3% (15)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
0.0% (3)
+37.0%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Rossi shoots left. Moore is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Rossi
Moore
Home
50.0% (242)
52.3% (132)
Away
51.1% (221)
41.1% (73)
By Period
Rossi
Moore
P1
54.9%
44.3%
P2
48.7%
54.2%
P3
47.9%
46.5%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Moore
38.0%▼
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |