Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Colton 51.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 74.3%
Defensive zone
Rossi 59.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 60.7%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Rossi
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Rossi
Colton
Last 7: Rossi 1-6 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Rossi
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
4
Rossi
Colton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Rossi
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
52.1% (741)
-7.6%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
48.3% (60)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
42.1% (19)
-42.1%
On penalty kill, Colton has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Rossi shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Rossi
Colton
Home
46.8% (385)
54.0% (411)
Away
42.6% (364)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Rossi
Colton
P1
42.8%
56.7%
P2
43.9%
53.1%
P3
47.4%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |