Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Donato 48.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 58.9%
Defensive zone
Rossi 64.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 66.5%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Rossi
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rossi
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
48.1% (258)
+4.7%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
43.2% (37)
-7.1%
On power play, Donato has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Rossi shoots left. Donato is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Rossi
Donato
Home
50.0% (242)
45.8% (142)
Away
51.1% (221)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Rossi
Donato
P1
54.9%
48.1%
P2
48.7%
46.6%
P3
47.9%
46.8%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |