Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Donato 44.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 74.1%
Defensive zone
Donato 58.0%
Neutral zone
Donato 59.6%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Rossi
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Rossi
Donato
Last 9: Rossi 3-6 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
4
Rossi
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Donato
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
44.2% (1,179)
+2.8%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
46.3% (246)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
36.4% (11)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Rossi shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Rossi
Donato
Home
47.8% (1,207)
47.2% (743)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Rossi
Donato
P1
47.3%
43.4%
P2
44.8%
45.1%
P3
48.3%
44.4%
OT
45.8%
70.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |