Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Couturier 53.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 72.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 63.1%
Neutral zone
Rossi 57.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Rossi
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Rossi
Couturier
Last 10: Rossi 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
4
2
Rossi
Couturier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
4
Rossi
Couturier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Rossi
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
53.4% (758)
-0.6%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
62.9% (70)
-26.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
50.7% (227)
-13.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Rossi shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Rossi
Couturier
Home
50.0% (242)
50.7% (517)
Away
51.1% (221)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Rossi
Couturier
P1
54.9%
55.2%
P2
48.7%
53.0%
P3
47.9%
53.3%
OT
40.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
45.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |