Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 64.2%
Defensive zone
Rossi 63.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 63.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Rossi
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Rossi
Monahan
Last 10: Rossi 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Rossi
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Rossi
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Rossi
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
53.2% (823)
-0.4%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
55.3% (159)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
48.4% (95)
-11.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Rossi shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Rossi
Monahan
Home
50.0% (242)
54.6% (529)
Away
51.1% (221)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Rossi
Monahan
P1
54.9%
49.0%
P2
48.7%
55.4%
P3
47.9%
53.6%
OT
40.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |