Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Rossi wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 52.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 63.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 66.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Rossi
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rossi
Monahan
Last 5: Rossi 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
52.4% (853)
-5.9%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
58.6% (174)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.5% (144)
+3.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Rossi shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Rossi
Monahan
Home
47.5% (520)
53.4% (624)
Away
46.0% (472)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Rossi
Monahan
P1
47.8%
53.7%
P2
44.2%
52.4%
P3
48.7%
51.6%
OT
45.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |