Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rossi wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Wright 45.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 61.2%
Defensive zone
Rossi 55.9%
Neutral zone
Rossi 64.2%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Rossi
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rossi
Wright
Last 5: Rossi 3-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
0
Rossi
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
Rossi
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
43.9% (758)
+2.6%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
50.7% (67)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Rossi
Wright
Home
47.5% (520)
46.3% (406)
Away
46.0% (472)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Rossi
Wright
P1
47.8%
46.8%
P2
44.2%
42.6%
P3
48.7%
44.4%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Shane Wright |