Scouting Report
Dave Bolland holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bolland wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 45.0% vs Foligno 46.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 62.2%
Defensive zone
Bolland 60.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.1%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Bolland
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bolland
Foligno
Last 5: Bolland 4-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
3
1
Bolland
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (716)
45.9% (98)
-1.3%
Power Play
58.1% (74)
60.0% (10)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (141)
25.0% (24)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Bolland has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Bolland is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Bolland shoots right. Foligno is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Bolland
Foligno
Home
45.5% (446)
47.9% (71)
Away
43.5% (485)
37.7% (61)
By Period
Bolland
Foligno
P1
44.6%
48.5%
P2
45.6%
45.5%
P3
44.2%
40.4%
OT
27.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.5%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |