Marcus Foligno vs Nate Thompson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Foligno wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 47.3% vs Thompson 52.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 74.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 94.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 86.5%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 84.0%
16.0%
84.0%
Foligno
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Foligno
Thompson
Last 5: Foligno 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
1
Foligno
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (553)
54.1% (5,812)
-6.5%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
54.8% (135)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (75)
47.9% (1,381)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Foligno is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Foligno shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Foligno
Thompson
Home
46.0% (365)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
48.0% (327)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Foligno
Thompson
P1
48.7%
53.2%
P2
49.8%
52.9%
P3
42.9%
52.8%
OT
36.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▬
41.0%
47.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |